教學大綱 Syllabus

科目名稱:金融時間序列分析

Course Name: Financial Time Series Analysis

修別:選

Type of Credit: Elective

3.0

學分數

Credit(s)

20

預收人數

Number of Students

課程資料Course Details

課程簡介Course Description

Financial markets create many time series for example stock prices and foreign currency exchange rates. How should we make use of these invaluable data for making investment decisions? In this course you'll learn advanced statistical techniques to handle financial time series data and to model the stochastic mechanism that generates the observed series.

核心能力分析圖 Core Competence Analysis Chart

能力項目說明


    課程目標與學習成效Course Objectives & Learning Outcomes

    Upon successful completion of this subject students should be able to:

    1. understand the theory and principles underlying a class of linear stochastic models, and appropriately apply time series techniques to financial problems;
    2. understand the theory and principles underlying a class of volatility models and appropriately apply modelling techniques to financial problems;
    3. formulate a testable hypothesis from a financial theory model;
    4. develop a range of statistical tools for empirical tests of these hypotheses;
    5. clearly communicate empirical applications and interpret results via written reporting;
    6. point to valuable experience in modelling financial time series, testing models and presenting succinctly the results of your analysis of a given problem.

    每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

    週次
    Week
    日期
    Date
    課程主題
    Course Theme
    課程內容與指定閱讀
    Content and Reading Assignment
    教學活動與作業
    Activity and Homework
    1 2025/9/4 Orientation  & Exploratory Data Analysis with R (Basics) Lecture Notes       教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA  
    2 2025/9/11 Timeseries Data Lecture Notes       教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    3 2025/9/18 Return Calculation Lecture Notes       教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    4 2025/9/25 Return Properties Lecture Notes       教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    5 2025/10/2 SDE Solutions & Stability 教科書第 1   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    6 2025/10/9 Stationary & ARMA Models 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    7 2025/10/16 Stationary & ARMA Models 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    8 2025/10/23 期中考     NA
    9 2025/10/30 Autocorrelation Functions 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    10 2025/11/6 Autocorrelation Functions 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    11 2025/11/13 Model Selection 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    12 2025/11/20 Model Selection 教科書第 2   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    13 2025/11/27 Unit Roots and Unit Root Tests  教科書第 4   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    14 2025/12/4 Unit Roots and Unit Root Tests  教科書第 4   教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    15 2025/12/11 GARCH Models    教科書第 3  教師講授及討論/ Assignment TBA
    16 2025/12/18 期末考     NA

    授課方式Teaching Approach

    50%

    講述 Lecture

    10%

    討論 Discussion

    30%

    小組活動 Group activity

    10%

    數位學習 E-learning

    0%

    其他: Others:

    評量工具與策略、評分標準成效Evaluation Criteria

    1. Class Attendance and Participation----------------------- 20%. 
    2. Assignment (bi-weekly)------------------------------------ 20%.
    3. Midterm-Exams--------------------------------------------- 30%.
    4. Final-Exams----------------------- -------------------------- 30%.

    Total 100% .

    請注意:除因重大災害或緊急傷病等不可抗力之因素(需事後提出正式證明)外,其餘因素(如家庭旅遊,忘記時間及睡過頭等)所造成之考試缺考將不給予補救措施。隔天就醫以及診斷證明陳述不明確者(如:根據患者自述云云),也將不給予補救措施。

    指定/參考書目Textbook & References

    指定用書:

    Applied Econometric Time Series 2nd eds. by Walter Enders JOHN WILEY & SONS INC. 2003 ISBN 0-471-45173-8

     

    參考書籍:

    Analysis of Financial Time Series by Ruey S. Tsay Wiley Inter-Science 2002. (新月)

    Time Series Applications to Finance by N. H. Chan Wiley 2002 ISBN 0-471-41117-5.

    蔡佳泓,2015, 基礎統計分析:R程式在社會科學之應用 第一版 ,ISBN:9789865668105,書號:00107022.(雙葉書廊)

    何宗武,2014,追蹤資料分析:原理與R程式實務 第一版 2014年,ISBN9789866018879,書號:00106979.(雙葉書廊)

    A good textbooks in Econometrics is "Introductory Econometrics" by Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

    Even better, there is a very nice resource for those wanting to use R in their introductory Econometrics courses: www.urfie.net

    From which, you can read the book online and download all the associated resources.

    已申請之圖書館指定參考書目 圖書館指定參考書查詢 |相關處理要點

    維護智慧財產權,務必使用正版書籍。 Respect Copyright.

    本課程可否使用生成式AI工具Course Policies on the Use of Generative AI Tools

    本課程無涉及AI使用 This Course Does Not Involve the Use of AI.

    課程相關連結Course Related Links

    http://wm5.nccu.edu.tw/

    課程附件Course Attachments

    課程進行中,使用智慧型手機、平板等隨身設備 To Use Smart Devices During the Class

    需經教師同意始得使用 Approval

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