每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

課程進度

*打星號為建議閱讀清單

Week 1 (9/2): Course introduction. Introduction to foreign policy decision making analysis, level of analysis,  neoclassical realism and foreign policy

Mintz and DeRouen, Ch1, Ch2 (p15-24).

Singer, J. David. “The Level-of-Analysis Problem in International Relations.” World Politics 14, no. 1 (October 1961): 77–92. https://doi.org/10.2307/2009557.

Lobell, Steven E., Norrin M. Ripsman, and Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, eds. Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy. 1 edition. Cambridge, UK ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009. Ch 2 “Threat assessment, the state, and foreign policy: a neoclassical realist model”

Week 2 (9/9): Rational model and expected utility theory, game theory, mixed strategy

Mintz and DeRouen, ch 4

Jonathan Mercer, "Rationality and Psychology in International Politics." International Organization, 59, 1 (Winter 2005): 77-106.

*James D. Morrow, Game Theory for Political Scientists. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994. Ch 2.

Week 3 (9/16): Bounded rationality, common rules for selection, non-compensatory decision making

Mintz and DeRouen, ch 5 (skip prospect theory p75-77)

Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, Steven E. Lobell, and Norrin M. Ripsman, "Introduction: Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy." In Steven E. Lobell, Norrin M. Ripsman, and Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, eds., Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009. p.1-41.

Morreau, Michael, "Arrow’s Theorem", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Winter 2019 Edition), Edward N. Zalta (ed.),      URL = .           

*Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, The War Trap. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981. p. 12-18.

 Individual level of analysis

Week 4 (9/23): psychological approaches to foreign policy analysis, perception and misperception,

Mintz and DeRouen, ch6, especially p. 99-101; 114-119. Ch7(p. 143-6).

Robert Jervis, Perception and Misperception in International Politics (Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976), Ch. 1.

*John Ahlquist and Margaret Levi. “Leadership: What It Means, What It Does, and What We Want to Know about It.” Annual Review of Political Science, 14 (2011): 1-24.

 

Week 5 (10/7): emotions, typology of leadership

Thomas Preston, The President and His Inner Circle: Leadership Style and the Advisory Process in Foreign Affairs. New York: Columbia University Press, 2001. Ch. 1.

*Crawford, Neta C. “The Passion of World Politics: Propositions on Emotion and Emotional Relationships.” International Security 24, no. 4 (2000): 116–56.

*Wong, Seanon S. “Mapping the Repertoire of Emotions and Their Communicative Functions in Face-to-Face Diplomacy.” International Studies Review. Accessed January 10, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viy079.

 

Domestic level of analysis

Week 6 (10/14): prospect theory, framing, agenda setting, applied personality studies,

Mintz and DeRouen, ch 5. p. 75-87.ch8 p. 150-160

Levy, Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations. International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 41, No. 1. (Mar., 1997), pp. 87-112.

*Michael J. Mazarr, “The Iraq War and Agenda Setting.” Foreign Policy Analysis, 3, 1 (January 2007):1-23.

Week 7 (10/24): [quiz] Bureaucratic politics and organizational processes models 【上傳期末報告一頁摘要】

Mintz and DeRouen, ch 3 p. 44-48; Ch8 p. 150-155.

Allison, Essence of Decision, Ch 3, 5

*Jonathan Bender and Thomas H. Hammond, “Rethinking Allison’s Models,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 86, No. 2 (June 1992), pp. 301-322.

*Schafer, M., & Crichlow, S. (2010). Groupthink Versus High-Quality Decision Making in International Relations. Columbia University Press. .

*Ronald Rogowski, “Institutions as Constraints on Strategic Choice.” In David A. Lake and Robert Powell, eds., Strategic Choice and International Relations.” Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1999. Pp. 115-36.

Week 8 (10/21): Diversionary war, Foreign lobby

Mintz and DeRouen, Ch7(p. 129-46)

张子介。台湾游说集团对美国国会的游说——以台北经济文化代表处和台湾人公共事务协会为例。美国研究，2015。

Mearsheimer, John J., Stephen M. Walt. 2008. The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy. 1st edition. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. Ch 5-6.

*Tir, Jaroslav. 2010. “Territorial Diversion: Diversionary Theory of War and Territorial Conflict.” The Journal of Politics 72 (02): 413–25. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381609990879.

*Jack S. Levy, "The Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique." In Manus I. Midlarsky, ed., Handbook of War Studies. Boston: Unwin Hyman, 1989. Chap. 11.

Week 9 (10/28): Democracies vs Authoritarianism, Audience Costs, Civil-Military Relations

Mintz and DeRouen, ch7, especially 129-133.

Kenneth A. Schultz, Democracy and Coercive Diplomacy. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001. Chap. 3.

Weeks, J. L. (2008). Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve. International Organization, 62(1), 35–64.

Michael C. Desch, Civilian Control of the Military: The Changing Security Environment. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999. Ch2

*Jack Snyder and Erica D. Borghard, "The Cost of Empty Threats: A Penny, Not a Pound." American Political Science Review 105, 3 (August 2011): 437-456.

*Doyle, M. W. (2005). “Three Pillars of the Liberal Peace”. American Political Science Review, (3), 463–466.

 

Week 10 (11/4): Social Identity Theory, ethnic relations and foreign policy,

Goldstein, Judith and Robert O. Koehane. 1993. “Ideas and foreign policy: an analytical framework,” in Judith Goldstein and Robert O. Keohane, eds., Ideas and Foreign Policy, beliefs, institutions, and political change. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.  

Davis, David R.,Will H. Moore. 1997. “Ethnicity Matters: Transnational Ethnic Alliances and Foreign Policy Behavior”, International Studies Quarterly 41 (1): 171–84.

*Johnston, A. I.(2007). Social States: China in International Institutions, 1980-2000. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Ch2.

*Aran, Amnon, 2009. Israel’s Foreign Policy Towards the PLO: The Impact of Globalization. Brighton: Sussex Academic Press, Conclusions, pp112-119

Week 11 (11/11): Two level games

Putnam, Robert D. “Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games”. International Organization 42: 3 (1988).

Knopf, J. W. (1993). Beyond two-level games: domestic–international interaction in the intermediate-range nuclear forces negotiations. International Organization, 47(4), 599–628.

Week 12 (11/18): Media effects, think tanks

Mintz and DeRouen, ch 8, especially p. 160-166.

Robinson, Piers. 1999.“The CNN Effect: Can the News Media Drive Foreign Policy” Review of International Studies. Vol 25, issue 2.

Axworthy, L. .(1997). Canada and Human Security: The Need for Leadership. International Journal, 52(2), 183–196.

Stone, Diane. “Global Public Policy, Transnational Policy Communities, and Their Networks.” Policy Studies Journal 36 (2008): 19-38.

Week 13 (11/25):  [AMUN] Final exam

Week 14 (12/2):  Class activities: leadership practice

Week 15 (12/9): AI and foreign policy decision making

Holmes, Marcus, and Nicholas J. Wheeler. “The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Nuclear Crisis Decision Making: A Complement, Not a Substitute.” Australian Journal of International Affairs 78, no. 2 (March 3, 2024): 164–74. https://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2024.2333814.

Whyte, Christopher. “Learning to Trust Skynet: Interfacing with Artificial Intelligence in Cyberspace.” Contemporary Security Policy 44, no. 2 (April 3, 2023): 308–44. https://doi.org/10.1080/13523260.2023.2180882.

 

 

System level of analysis

Week 16 (12/16):  Grand strategy. Attribute of states and their foreign policy, Foreign policy of Great Powers

Mintz and DeRouen, Ch9

Kupchan, C. A. (2014). The Normative Foundations of Hegemony and The Coming Challenge to Pax Americana. Security Studies, 23(2), 219–257.

*Vieira, Marco A., 2013, 'Brazil's foreign policy in the context of global climate norms', Foreign Policy Analysis, 9/4, pp369-86

*Posen, B. R. (2015). Restraint: A New Foundation for U.S. Grand Strategy (1 edition). Cornell University Press. Ch1.

Final paper due: 12/30 (TUE) 12:00 pm (noon) electronic submission to Turnitin.