教學大綱 Syllabus

科目名稱:社會科學統計方法

Course Name: Statistical Methods in the Social Sciences

修別:必

Type of Credit: Required

3.0

學分數

Credit(s)

20

預收人數

Number of Students

課程資料Course Details

課程簡介Course Description

This course consists of three major themes: probability theory, hypothesis testing, and experiments. These themes serve as the foundation for students to pursue further studies in advanced statistical analysis and methods such as models with fixed and random effects, time series data, and Bayesian modeling. The order of the themes is arranged in a way to ensure that students understand the fundamentals (probability, descriptive statistics, probability distribution, and sampling distribution) before knowing how to make statistical inferences (hypothesis tests, experiments, and regression analysis). In addition to the lectures, we have labs in which the students will learn how to use R codes to carry out analytical tasks related to the topics we have covered in class.

核心能力分析圖 Core Competence Analysis Chart

能力項目說明


    課程目標與學習成效Course Objectives & Learning Outcomes

    This course aims to equip students with the necessary statistical tools and concepts to analyze and interpret data within the context of social science research. The primary learning goals include (1) learning to summarize and describe the essential features of a dataset; (2) understanding the principles of drawing conclusions about populations based on sample data; (3) gaining an understanding of probability and probability/sampling distributions and their application in social science research.; (4) understanding various statistical tests (e.g., t-tests, chi-square tests, etc.) and when to use them, and (5) digging in how to design, conduct, analyze, and interpret experimental research within the context of social science. By achieving these learning goals, students should be well-equipped to conduct rigorous and valid statistical analyses in their social science research, contributing to the advancement of knowledge in social sciences.

    每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

    教學週次Course Week 彈性補充教學週次Flexible Supplemental Instruction Week 彈性補充教學類別Flexible Supplemental Instruction Type

     

    教學週次

    彈性補充教學週次

    彈性補充教學類別

     16+2週

    17 週

    課程相關線上學習

    自主總整學習

    完成指定課後作業或作品(期末口頭報告)

    參與校內外課程相關學習活動或社會服務

    其他(請參閱每週課程進度與作業要求)

    18 週

    課程相關線上學習

    自主總整學習

    完成指定課後作業或作品(期末口頭報告)

    參與校內外課程相關學習活動或社會服務

    其他(請參閱每週課程進度與作業要求)

     17+1週

       

    課程相關線上學習

    自主總整學習

    完成指定課後作業或作品

    參與校內外課程相關學習活動或社會服務

    其他(請參閱每週課程進度與作業要求)

     18週

     無彈性補充教學週

     

    週次

    課程主題

    課程內容與指定閱讀

    教學活動與作業

    1

    Course introduction

    Agresti, ch 1

    Data

    Variables

    2

    Sampling and measurement

    Agresti, ch 2

    Sapling bias

    Variability

    Probabilistic sampling

    Non-probabilistic sampling

    3

    Getting to know the data

    Agresti, ch 3

    Descriptive analysis

    Visualization

    4

    Probability

    Sahu, ch 3 & 4

    Probability

    Conditional probability

    Bayes theorem

    Statement of Research Questions due by end of class

    5

    Probability distribution

    Agresti, ch 4

    Probability distributions

    Sampling distributions

    6

    Statistical inference: Estimation

    Agresti, ch 5

    Point and interval estimation

    Confidence interval

    7

    Statistical inference: Significant tests (I)

    Agresti, ch 6.1-6.3

    Significance test for a mean

    Significance test for a proportion

    Literature Review due by end of class

    8

    Statistical inference: Significant tests (II)

    Agresti, ch 6.4-6.8

    Types of errors

    Limitations of significance tests

    9

    Midterm exam

    Midterm exam

    Midterm exam

    10

    Two group comparisons (I)

    Agresti, ch 7.1-7.4

    Comparing two means or proportions

    11

    Two group comparisons (II)

    Agresti, ch 7.5-7.8

    Other methods for comparing means and proportions

    12

    Relationships between categorical variables

    Agresti, ch 8

    Contingency tables

    Chi-squared tests

    Description of Theory due by end of class

    13

    Experiments (I)

    Druckman, ch 2

    Scientific process and causal inference Sampling

    Measurement

    Causal inference

    14

    Experiments (II)

    Druckman, ch 3

    Evaluating experiments

    Realism

    Validity

    Samples 

    15

    Experiments (III)

    Druckman, ch 5

    Generating research questions

    Transparency

    Pre-analysis plan

    Replication

    Description of Research Design due by end of class

    16

    Experiments (IV)

    Druckman, ch 4 & 6

    Audit field experiments

    Conjoint experiments

    Lab-in-the-field experiments

    17

    Final exam

    Final exam

    Final exam

    18

    Presentation of research proposal

    Please circulate your paper by the designated deadline

    Please read other students’ papers and be prepared to offer comments in class

    Research Proposal due by end of class

     

    授課方式Teaching Approach

    60%

    講述 Lecture

    20%

    討論 Discussion

    10%

    小組活動 Group activity

    10%

    數位學習 E-learning

    0%

    其他: Others:

    評量工具與策略、評分標準成效Evaluation Criteria

    This course is organized around lectures, readings, and labs. You are expected to attend lectures as well as lab sections. To pass the class, ALL assignments must be completed. 

     

    Attendance/Participation and Quizzes (10% and 10%)
    Homework (30%)

    Research Proposal and Presentation (20%)
    Midterm (15%)

    Final Exam (15%)

    Attendance/Participation and Quizzes (10% and 10%): Your preparation, presence, and participation are crucial. Please complete the required readings, be on time for each class, bring all relevant readings, and contribute energetically to the class and lab activities. Your class participation grade will be assessed based on lecture attendance and your contributions to lab activities. At the beginning of each class, students will take a quiz to test their comprehension of the reading materials of that specific week. For the lab, the teaching assistant may distribute additional section syllabi that detail specific lab expectations and requirements. Please note that unexcused absences in lectures or in the lab will count heavily against your grade. An absence will be excused only with documentation of medical necessity or with prior approval from your teaching assistant.

    Homework (30%): Students will complete six problem sets designed to test the comprehension of the material covered in class (see the schedule for the exact due dates). You may consult with your classmates. However, each student must write up and turn in their own work/assignment. Assignments deemed too similar to another student’s assignment will receive a score of 0. Working (struggling) on the homework is the only sure way to master the material. All homework assignments are due at the beginning of the class and need to be submitted to submission links at Moodle.

    Final Paper and Presentation (20%): Students are required to finish a proposal adopting quantitative methods. The proposal should highlight the following aspects: selecting an interesting topic, reviewing relevant literature, building your theory, formulating hypotheses, defining and operationalizing variables, and proposing a research design and data collection methods to test the hypotheses. You are advised to be extremely realistic while preparing your research proposal because you must carry it out in the next semester. An infeasible proposal will receive a very low score for the final paper. I strongly urge you to start thinking about the research topics as early as possible so you can have sufficient time to identify an appropriate topic through trial and error. In order to keep students on track, final project assignments will be assigned throughout the semester (please see the details in the “Schedule” Section). These assignments (about one page, doubled spaced) will be graded and count as a part of your final project score (2.5% each*4). Students will present their proposals in the last week of the semester.

    Midterm and Final Exams (15%*2): The final exam is not cumulative. The exam is open book, open-note. A calculator is necessary, hopefully, one with which you are familiar. Laptop computers are not permitted during the test. Mark your calendar now because it is very unlikely that I create make-up tests or re-schedule tests for any one person.

    指定/參考書目Textbook & References

    指定書目

    Agresti. (2018). Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences. Pearson (5th Edition).

    Druckman. (2022). Experimental thinking. Cambridge University Press.

    Sahu (2024). Introduction to Probability, Statistics & R: Foundations for Data-Based Sciences. Cham: Springer International Publishing.

     

    參考書目

    Lewin, C. (2005). Elementary quantitative methods. Research methods in the social sciences, 215-225.

    Petscher, Y. M., Schatschneider, C., & Compton, D. L. (Eds.). (2013). Applied quantitative analysis in education and the social sciences. Routledge.

    Davies, M. B., & Hughes, N. (2014). Doing a successful research project: Using qualitative or quantitative methods. Bloomsbury Publishing.

    Hancock, G. R., Stapleton, L. M., & Mueller, R. O. (Eds.). (2018). The reviewer’s guide to quantitative methods in the social sciences. Routledge.

    Stockemer, D., Stockemer, G., & Glaeser, J. (2019). Quantitative methods for the social sciences (Vol. 50, p. 185). Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

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