教學大綱 Syllabus

科目名稱:不擴散政策與目標:戰略貿易管控的執行

Course Name: Nonproliferation Policies and Goals - Implementation through Strategic Trade Controls

修別:選

Type of Credit: Elective

3.0

學分數

Credit(s)

20

預收人數

Number of Students

課程資料Course Details

課程簡介Course Description

 This seminar will introduce students to national security and foreign policy considerations in international business.  Topics include export controls on military and commercial items including nonproliferation concepts and policies to combat weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and delivery systems, and conventional arms, including a review of international nonproliferation regimes.  This seminar-style class will focus on key issues related to how nonproliferation and national security policies are implemented through strategic trade controls and sanctions at national levels.  The class will review how countries balance security with prosperity, how countries cooperate each other in balancing security and prosperity in global trade, and how effective strategic trade controls and sanctions can be key in meeting nonproliferation and national security policies and goals.  Lastly, the class will review national security concerns related to emerging technologies, foreign investments, and supply chain.

核心能力分析圖 Core Competence Analysis Chart

能力項目說明


    課程目標與學習成效Course Objectives & Learning Outcomes

     This seminar will introduce students to national security and foreign policy considerations in international business.  Topics include export controls on military and commercial items including nonproliferation concepts and policies to combat weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and delivery systems, and conventional arms, including a review of international nonproliferation regimes.  This seminar-style class will focus on key issues related to how nonproliferation and national security policies are implemented through strategic trade controls and sanctions at national levels.  The class will review how countries balance security with prosperity, how countries cooperate each other in balancing security and prosperity in global trade, and how effective strategic trade controls and sanctions can be key in meeting nonproliferation and national security policies and goals.  Lastly, the class will review national security concerns related to emerging technologies, foreign investments, and supply chain.

    每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

    教學週次Course Week 彈性補充教學週次Flexible Supplemental Instruction Week 彈性補充教學類別Flexible Supplemental Instruction Type

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Week 1:  Introduction of class, expectations and goals

     

    Reading:

     

    W. Seth Carus, Defining Weapons of Mass Destruction, CSWMD Occasional Paper 8, 1 January 2012: https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/News-Article-View/Article/717937/defining-weapons-of-mass-destruction-revised/

     

    John P. Caves and W. Seth Carus, The Future of Weapons of Mass Destruction: Their Nature and Role in 2030, CSWMD Occasional Paper 10, 1 June 2014 https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/News-Article-View/Article/717932/the-future-of-weapons-of-mass-destruction-their-nature-and-role-in-2030/

     

    Sibylle Bauer, For the bathroom or the missile factory? Why dual-use trade controls matter, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 12 December 2012 https://sipri.org/commentary/essay/2012/bathroom-or-missile-factory-why-dual-use-trade-controls-matter

     

    https://unrcpd.org/wmd/

     

     

    Week 2:  Multilateral nonproliferation regimes:  missiles; chemical and biological weapons; nuclear weapons; dual-use national security items; select individual presentation on a WMD program. 

     

    Reading:

     

    General Accountability Office:  Nonproliferation: Strategy needed to Strengthen Multilateral Export Control Regimes, October 2002, pp. 1 30, https://www.gao.gov/assets/240/236191.pdf

     

    Michael D. Beck and Scott A. Jones, The Once and Future Multilateral Export Control Regimes: Innovate or Die, Strategic Trade Review, Winter/Spring 2019 pp. 55 76, https://strategictraderesearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Strategic-Trade-Review-WinterSpring-2019.pdf

     

    Michael D. Beck and Seema Gahlaut, Creating a New Multilateral Export Control Regime, Arms Control Today, Volume 33, April 2003, https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2003-04/features/creating-new-multilateral-export-control-regime

     

    Challenges to Multilateral Export Controls:  The case for Inter-regime Dialogue and Coordination, SIPRI, December 2019, https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2019-12/1912_regime_dialogue_brockmann.pdf

     

    https://cset.georgetown.edu/event/a-new-export-control-regime-for-the-21st-century/

     

    Week 3:  Multilateral nonproliferation regimes - delivery systems:  Hague Code of Conduct Against Ballistic Missile Proliferation (HCOC); Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR).  Guest speaker

     

    Reading:

     

    Inventory of International nonproliferation organizations and Regimes, HCOC, https://www.nti.org/learn/treaties-and-regimes/hague-code-conduct-against-ballistic-missile-proliferation-hcoc/

     

    Missile Technology Control Regime https://mtcr.info

     

    Joshua H. Pollack, Miles Pomper, Ferenc Dalnoki-Veress, Joy Nasr, and Dave Schmerler, Options for a Verifiable Freeze on North Koreas Missile Programs CNS Occasional Paper # 46, April 2019 https://www.nonproliferation.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/options_for_a_verifiable_freeze.pdf

     

    Current U.S. Missile Defense Programs at a Glance, Arms Control Association, August 2019, https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/usmissiledefense

     

    U.S. and Allied Ballistic Missile Defenses in the Asia-Pacific Region, Arms Control Association, January 2019, https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/us-allied-ballistic-missile-defenses-asia-pacific-region

     

    https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile-maps-infographics/

     

    https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-missile-tests-military-capabilities

     

    Week 4:  Multilateral nonproliferation regimes - nuclear, chemical and biological weapons:  Nuclear Suppliers Group; Zangger Committee; Australia Group; Guest speaker

     

    Reading:

     

    Read Country Reports for U.S., Russia, Pakistan, India, France, UK, North Korea, Iran, and China https://www.nti.org/learn

     

    Nuclear Suppliers Group https://nuclearsupliersgroup.org

     

    Implications for US Extended Deterrence and Assurance in East Asia, November 22, 2015 https://www.38north.org/2015/11/nukefuture112015/

     

    U.S. Nuclear and Extended Deterrence: Considerations and Challenges, May 2010, https://www.brookings.edu/research/u-s-nuclear-and-extended-deterrence-considerations-and-challenges/ - skim

     

    The Unforeseen Consequences of Extended Deterrence: Moral Hazard in a Nuclear Client State, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0022002717729025 - optional

     

    https://www.heritage.org/defense/event/us-nuclear-declaratory-policy-and-the-future-extended-deterrence - video

     

    Australia Group https://australiagroup.org

     

    https://www.opcw.org/  “About Us” link

     

    https://www.un.org/disarmament/biological-weapons/

    “about bwc” link

     

    https://www.gppi.net/media/GPPi_Schneider_Luetkefend_2019_Nowhere_to_Hide_Web.pdf  Read pp 1-14.  Skim the rest

     

    Week 5: Conventional weapons proliferation: Wassenaar Arrangement; Guest Speaker

     

    Readings

     

    Wassenaar Arrangement https://wassenaar.org

     

    https://www.wassenaar.org/app/uploads/2019/12/WA-DOC-19-PUB-005-Public-Docs-Vol-III-Comp.-of-Best-Practice-Documents-Dec.-2019.pdf

     skim

     

    Scott Jones, Think twice before bringing back the COCOM export control regime, April 2021, https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/commentary/2021/04/09/think-twice-before-bringing-back-the-cocom-export-control-regime/

     

    The Best of ChinaPower: Xi Jinping’s Military-Civil Fusion Project: A Conversation with Greg Levesque https://www.csis.org/node/61453   (Podcast)

    Elsa B. Kania and Lorand Laskai, Myths and Realities of China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy, January 2021, https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/myths-and-realities-of-chinas-military-civil-fusion-strategy

    Richard A. Bitzinger, Yoram Evron, and Zi Yang, China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy: Development, Procurement, and Secrecy, January 2021,  https://www.nbr.org/wp-content/uploads/pdfs/publications/ap16-1_china_mcf_rt_jan2021.pdf,   pp 1-44

     

    NP Singh, Jan-Mar 2022, http://www.indiandefencereview.com/news/military-civil-fusion-strategy-of-china/

     

    https://www.stimson.org/event/next-steps-on-post-delivery-controls-for-international-arms-transfers/ - Video

     

    https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/uploads/documents/Chen_Changing%20State-Businesss%20Relations%20under%20the%20U.S.-China%20Tech%20War_0.pdf

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmYIL6xTVRE (Video presentation of Changing State-Business Relations Under the US-China Tech War)

     

    Week 6:  Individual presentations on a WMD program; select group presentation on a strategic trade control system in the Asia Pacific region;

     

    Week 7:  Strategic trade controls - adopting multilateral controls into national strategic trade controls - development of national systems (possible research day or holiday class and associated readings will be adjusted accordingly)

     

    Reading:

     

    United Nations Security Council Resolution1540 Committee https://www.un.org/en/sc/1540/resolutions-committee-reports-and-SC-briefings/security-council-resolutions.shtml

     

    United Nations Security Council Resolution 1540 Implementation: More of the Same or Brave New World

    https://strategictraderesearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Strategic-Trade-Review-Winter-2019.pdf

     

    2021-2022 Comprehensive Review of UNSCR 1540 https://www.un.org/en/sc/1540/documents/Background%20Document-1540%20Committee%20Open%20Consultations%20CR%202021-22.pdf

     

     

    Week 8: (research day)

     

     

    Week 9:  Basic elements to developing national strategic trade control systems; Export control systems within Asia Pacific region; Guest speaker

     

    Reading:

     

    David Santoro and Carl Baker, Special Section:  Trade Controls in Southeast Asia,Strategic Trade Review, Spring 2016, pp. 72 - 139 https://strategictraderesearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/STR_02.pdf

     

    Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction,A Memorandum from the Council http://www.cscap.org/uploads/docs/Memorandums/CSCAP%20Memorandum%20No%2022%20--%20Nonproliferation%20of%20Weapons%20of%20Mass%20Destruction.pdf

     

    Guidelines for Managing Trade of Strategic Goods,A Memorandum from the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific (CSCAP) NO. 14, March 2009 http://www.cscap.org/uploads/docs/Memorandums/CSCAP%20Memorandum%20No%2014%20--%20Guidelines%20for%20Managing%20Trade%20of%20Strategic%20Goods.pdf

     

    The Center for Information on Security Trade Controls (CISTEC) Export Control Model of Japan: Role, Utility, and Management, Strategic Trade Review, Winter/Spring 2019 pp. 77 - 92  https://strategictraderesearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Strategic-Trade-Review-WinterSpring-2019.pdf

     

    Frauke Renz, An Additional Tool for Economic Integration? How Coordination on Strategic Trade Controls Can Promote Regional Cooperation within ASEAN,Strategic Trade Review, Autumn 2016, pp. 85 - 102 https://strategictraderesearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/STR_03.pdf

     

    Elements of an Effective Export Control System, pdf file

     

    Week 10:  Sanctions; human rights and other non-national security/WMD based controls; Guest speaker

     

    Reading:

     

    John Park, Jim Walsh, Stopping North Korea, Inc.: Sanctions Effectiveness and Unintended Consequences,MIT, 2016 https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/legacy/files/Stopping%20North%20Korea%20Inc%20Park%20and%20Walsh%20.pdf  read pp 1-30, skim rest

     

    PODCAST: Do Sanctions Work,Tell Me More, National Public Radio 2013. Run time: 11minutes https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=246733368

     

    https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/oct/11/chilling-effect-us-sanctions-iran

    skim related materials links

     

    Jonathan Masters, What Are Economic Sanctions?Council on Foreign Relations, Backgrounder, August 2019 https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-are-economic-sanctions

     

    United States General Accounting Office Economic Sanctions: Effectiveness as Tools of Foreign Policy February 1992 https://www.gao.gov/assets/nsiad-92-106.pdf  (skim)

     

    The Treasury 2021 Sanctions Review  https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/Treasury-2021-sanctions-review.pdf

     

    Are sanctions actually hurting Russia's economy? Here's what you need to know, July 2022,  https://www.npr.org/2022/07/01/1109033582/are-sanctions-actually-hurting-russias-economy-heres-what-you-need-to-know  (Podcast)

    Gerard DiPippo, Strangling the Bear? Sanctions on Russia after Four Months, June 2022, https://www.csis.org/analysis/strangling-bear-sanctions-russia-after-four-months

     

    Week 11:  Sanctions continued

     

    Week 12:  Group presentations; guest speaker

     

    Week 13: Group presentations continued; Export control compliance from industry perspective Guest speaker

     

    Week 14:  Supply chain security; national security review of foreign investments; Guest speaker

     

    Reading:

     

    Supply chain security

     

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/blog/2021/09/23/when-the-chips-are-down-preventing-and-addressing-supply-chain-disruptions/

     

    Building Resilient Supply Chains, Revitalizing American Manufacturing, and Fostering Broad-based Growth July 2021 https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/100-day-supply-chain-review-report.pdf  Read pp.1 18, 21-27, 53-80.  Skim pp 27-53.

     

    Bradley Martin, Supply Chain Disruptions: The Risks and Consequences, November 2021, https://www.rand.org/blog/2021/11/supply-chain-disruptions-the-risks-and-consequences.html

     

    https://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/taiwans-role-us-semiconductor-supply-chain-network

     

    https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/taiwans-role-us-semiconductor-supply-chain-network (Video)

     

    FDI

     

    World Investment Report 2022, https://unctad.org/webflyer/world-investment-report-2022

     

    https://investmentpolicy.unctad.org/publications/1213/investment-policy-monitor-special-issue---national-security-related-screening-mechanisms-for-foreign-investment-an-analysis-of-recent-policy-developments

     

    https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11334

     

    An FDI Investigation, https://www.csis.org/node/54674 (Podcast)

     

     

    Week 15:  Emerging/foundational technologies;

     

    Reading:

     

    Kolja Brockmann, Sibylle Bauer, Vincent Boulanin, Emerging technologies pose challenges to the control of biological weapons, new SIPRI report,SIPRI, March 2019 https://www.sipri.org/publications/2019/other-publications/bio-plus-x-arms-control-and-convergence-biology-and-emerging-technologies

     

    Scott A. Jones, Trading Emerging Technologies: Export Controls Meet Reality,” Brill.com, February 2021, https://brill.com/view/journals/shrs/aop/article-10.1163-18750230-31010004/article-10.1163-18750230-31010004.xml?language=en

    Review of Controls for Certain Emerging Technologies, Bureau of Industry and Security, U.S. Department of Commerce, November 2018 https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2018/11/19/2018-25221/review-of-controls-for-certain-emerging-technologies

     

    Emerging Technologies Developments in the Context of Dual-Use Export Controls https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2021/september/tradoc_159791.pdf

     

    EU-US Trade and Technology Council (europa.eu) (Review all links on left-hand side and documents)

     

    Week 16: Academic research/collaboration; intangible technology transfer; technology transfers to foreign nationals (deemed export); Guest speaker

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhOpIq4oPFc (Video)

     

     https://itlaw.wikia.org/wiki/Deemed_Export

     

    Catalogue of Case Studies on Intangible Technology Transfers from Universities and Research Institutes, September 2020, https://www.kcl.ac.uk/csss/assets/itt-case-studies-2020.pdf

     

    https://www.justice.gov/opa/speech/file/1107256/download

     

    https://www.justice.gov/archives/nsd/information-about-department-justice-s-china-initiative-and-compilation-china-related

     

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/end-justice-departments-china-initiative-brings-little-relief-us

     

    https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/12/02/1040656/china-initative-us-justice-department/

     

    https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/documents/about-bis/newsroom/3045-2022-06-28-remarks-as-axelrod-nacua-2022-conference/file

     

    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32021H1700&qid=1671944227540&from=EN pages 24 36, appendices 1, 2, 3, and 4.  Skim the rest.

     

    https://research.umbc.edu/export-control-case-studies/  (new for spring 2024)

     

    Week 17: Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb: Wrap-up

     

    Week 18:  Final papers due

     

     

     

    授課方式Teaching Approach

    50%

    講述 Lecture

    25%

    討論 Discussion

    25%

    小組活動 Group activity

    0%

    數位學習 E-learning

    0%

    其他: Others:

    評量工具與策略、評分標準成效Evaluation Criteria

     20% class participation; 20% one individual presentation; 20% group presentation; 40% written essay between 7 -10 pages.  In addition, two or three unresolved issues/questions from the reading material should be presented for discussion for each class. 

    Topical reading list will be provided prior to commencement of class.  Guest speakers will be incorporated throughout the seminar. 

     

     

    指定/參考書目Textbook & References

    Topical reading list will be provided prior to commencement of class.

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