Type of Credit: Elective
Credit(s)
Number of Students
等。這些議題最後都和中國內政、國際/區域秩序、及兩岸關係的發展有密切關係。
能力項目說明
本課程目標是透過閱讀和討論,配合社會科學及中國研究發展出的概念/理論,並在中國歷史和文化環境內,培養學生關於中國軍事/解放軍議題的專業分析和獨立研究能力。
教學週次Course Week | 彈性補充教學週次Flexible Supplemental Instruction Week | 彈性補充教學類別Flexible Supplemental Instruction Type |
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2/20 課程介紹與教學準備
了解解放軍:人、組織、結構、部署
中國武裝力量的範圍?軍隊的兵、士官、軍官從何而來?兵役制度?怎麼組織他們?他們被部署在哪裡?為什麼稱解放軍?什麼時候改稱解放軍?歷史上的名稱?
2/27 什麼是解放軍?
Dennis Blasko, The Chinese Army Today--Tradition and Transformation for the 21st Century (London/New York: Routledge, 2012), Chapters 1-2, pp. 1-55.
David Shambaugh, Modernizing China’s Military--Progress, Problems and Prospects (Berkeley, CA: 2003), Chap 4, pp. 108-183.
Philip Saunders, Arthur Ding, Andrew Scobell, Andrew Yang, and Joel Wuthnow, Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA--Assessing Chinese Military Reforms (Washington DC: NDU Press, 2019), Introduction, pp. 1-42. https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/Books/Chairman-Xi/Chairman-Xi.pdf
3/5 誰是解放軍?
Blasko, pp. 56-79.
田佑中,學生官:軍營裏的知識份子(北京:社會科學文獻,2005年)。
范宏宙與張育君,「中共軍改兩級院校體制下生長幹部招生院校現況研究」,海軍學術雙月刊,第五十一卷第六期(2017年12月),頁22-35。https://navy.mnd.gov.tw/Files/Paper/2-%E4%B8%AD%E5%85%B1%E8%BB%8D%E6%94%B9%E5%85%A9%E7%B4%9A%E9%99%A2%E6%A0%A1%E9%AB%94%E5%88%B6%E4%B8%8B.pdf
寇健文,「1987年以後解放軍領導人的政治流動:專業化與制度化的影響」,中國大陸研究,第54卷第2期 (2011年6月),頁1-34。
Joel Wuthnow, Gray Dragons: Assessing China’s Senior Military Leadership (Washington DC: NDU Press, 2022). https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/stratperspective/china/china-perspectives-16.pdf.
若對中國軍事院校最新發展有興趣者,請參閱:Kenneth Allen and Mingzhi Chen, The People’s Liberation Army’s 37 Academic Institutions (Montgomery, AL: China Aerospace Studies Institute, Air University, June 11, 2020), https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/CASI/documents/Research/Other-Topics/2020-06-11%20PLA%20Academic_Institutions.pdf.
解放軍的歷史和轉變
中國軍隊長期處於派系把持。派系是什麼?中國軍隊為何長期被派系把持?派系在1949年建政後40多年和政治的關係?
3/12 中國軍隊的過去。野戰軍為主的派系。這涉及中國文武/黨軍關係。
William Whitson, The Chinese High Command; a History of Communist Military Politics, 1927-71 (New York: Praeger, 1973), pp. 3-122, 416-435, 498-517.
3/19 中國軍隊的轉變。軍隊和政治有密切關係,其轉變夾雜政治與意識型態正當性。
Nan Li, From Revolutionary Internationalism to Conservative Nationalism: The Chinese Military’s Discourse on National security and Identity in the post-Mao Era (Washington DC: US Institute of Peace, May 2001). http://www.usip.org/pubs/PeaceWorks/PDF/pwks39.pdf.
丁樹範,中共軍事思想的改變,1979-1991 (台北:1996年),頁7-69。
Ellis Joffe, The Chinese Army after Mao (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1987), Chapter 7 and Conclusion, pp. 149-183.
3/26 改革開放帶來的衝擊。中國經濟和社會歷經重大轉變,這個轉變如何影響軍隊與政治和社會關係。
丁樹範,「中國社會變遷對「雙擁」政策的衝擊」,中國大陸研究,第50卷第3期(中華民國96年7/9月),頁29-49。http://iir.nccu.edu.tw/index.php?include=research&mode=detail&kind=2&id=2120&ajax=1.
David M. Finkelstein and Kristen Gunness (eds), Civil-Military Relations in Today’s China: Swimming in a New Sea (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2007), Chapters 1, 2, 11, 12.
You Ji, “Fragmented Party Control of the Gun,” in Kjeld Erik Brodsgaard (ed) Chinese Politics as Fragmented Authoritarianism—Earthquakes, Energy, and Environment(London/New York: Routledge, 2017), pp. 204-222.
軍隊與決策
軍隊在決策的角色?不同時期的角色?
4/2 中國軍隊與決策過程(I)。中國軍隊在政治結構上有特別地位,因此,人們會問:軍隊在安全和外交政策的角色為何?不同時期的政治結構為何?派系與官僚影響?影響力有多大?判斷的標準為何?
John Lewis, Hua Di, and Xue Litai "Beijing's Defense Establishment: Solving the Arms Export Enigma." International Security, Vol. 15, No. 4 (Spring 1991), pp. 87-109.
Linda Jakobson and Dean Knox, New Foreign Policy Actors in China (Stockholm, SIPRI, September 2010), pp. 1-51. http://books.sipri.org/files/PP/SIPRIPP26.pdf.
Isaac B. Kardon and Philip C. Saunders, “Re-Considering the PLA as an Interest Group,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell (eds) PLA Influence on China’s National Security Policymaking (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2015), pp. 33-57.
4/9 中國軍隊與決策過程(II)
Michael Swaine, “The PLA Role in China’s Foreign Policy and Crisis Behavior,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell (eds) ibid., pp. 141-165.
Eric Hagt, “The Rise of PLA Diplomacy,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell (eds) ibid., pp. 218-238.
Taylor Fravel, “The PLA and National Security Decision-making: Insights from China’s Territorial and Maritime Disputes,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell (eds) ibid., pp. 249-273.
作戰
4/16 中國核戰略(nuclear doctrine)的爭論。什麼是核戰略?是否可用美國發展出的概念討論中國的核戰略?是否有「中國特色」的核戰略?核武器在現今的地位何在?核戰略與導彈防禦體系關係?及導彈防禦體系與極音速飛行器的關係?注意以下人士不同觀點。
Jonathan Ray, Red China’s “Capitalist Bomb”: Inside the Chinese Neutron Bomb Program (Washington DC: NDU Press, 2015). https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/stratperspective/china/ChinaPerspectives-8.pdf.
吳日強(Ri-qiang Wu), “Certainty of Uncertainty: Nuclear Strategy with Chinese Characteristics,” POSSE website.
李彬,「中國核戰略辨析」,世界經濟與政治(北京),2006年第9期,頁16-22。http://learn.tsinghua.edu.cn:8080/2000990313/2006libin.htm.
Alastair I. Johnston, "China's New 'Old Thinking': The Concept of Limited Deterrence" International Security, Vol. 20, No.3 (Winter 1995/6) pp. 5-42.
Michael S. Chase and Evan Medeiros, “China’s Evolving Nuclear Calculus: Modernization and Doctrinal Debate,” in David Finkelstein and James Mulvenon (eds), China’s Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs: Emerging Trends in the Operational Art of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (Alexandra, VA: CNA, November 2005), pp. 119-157, https://indianstrategicknowledgeonline.com/web/doctrinebook.pdf.
4/23 解釋中國的戰爭。戰爭是研究國際關係的重要議題。戰爭為何發生?現實主義理論如何解釋戰爭的發生?中國的戰爭行為是否有其特色?中國使用武力是否有模式?西方對戰爭的解釋是否適用來解釋中國的戰爭行為?
Jonathan Adelman and Shih Chih-yu, Symbolic War: The Chinese Use of Force, 1840-1980 (Taipei: IIR, 1993).(或考參考石之瑜老師其他相關著作)
Alastair I. Johnston, “Cultural Realism and Strategy in Maoist China,” in Peter Katzenstein (ed) The Culture of National Security: Norms and Identity in World Politics (NY: Columbia, 1996), pp. 216-268.
施道安(Andrew Scobell), China's Use of Military Force: beyond the Great Wall and the Long March (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003), Chapters 1-3, pp. 1-78.
4/30 脅迫戰略 (Coercive Behavior)。過去兩年有關中國將武力攻台的說法引起國際高度關注。然而,事實卻是中國採取介於戰爭和和平間的脅迫戰略。對脅迫戰略有不同稱法:中國軍方稱為戰略威懾,或軍事威懾;西方多以灰色地帶戰略(Grey Zone Strategy)稱之。
James A. Siebens (ed), China’s Use of Armed Coercion--To Win without Fighting (London: Routledge, 2023), Chapters 1-3, 5, 9, 10.
戰略學(北京:解放軍國防大學,2020年),第八章(戰略威懾),頁126-141。
5/7 軍事戰略
Mark R. Cozad, “Toward a More Joint, Combat Ready PLA?” in Philip Saunders, Arthur Ding, Andrew Scobell, Andrew N. D. Yang, and Joel Wuthnow (eds) Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA: Assessing Chinese Military Reforms (Washington DC: National Defense University 2019), pp. 203-226. https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Publications/Books/Chairman-Xi-Remakes-the-PLA/.
Taylor Fravel, Active Defense--China’s Military Strategy since 1949 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2019).
5/14 作戰。實際作戰的考慮因素和不同對手的因應。
Mark A. Ryan, David M. Finkelstein, and Michael McDevitt (eds) Chinese Warfighting--The PLA Experience since 1949 (New York/London: M. E. Sharpe, 2003), Chapters 1, 5, 8, 9
5/21 非戰爭任務。中國武裝力量面臨越來越多非作戰任務。
Andrew Scobell, Arthur S. Ding, Phillip C. Saunders, and Scott W. Harold, The People’s Liberation Army and Contingency Planning in China (Washington DC: NDU Press, 2015), Chapters 7, 8, 13.
中國武裝力量的多樣化運用http://www.mod.gov.cn/big5/regulatory/2013-04/16/content_4617811_2.htm
國防經濟。國防(軍事)經濟在中國已成為顯學,因此有需要瞭解什麼是國防經濟。
5/28 中國國防工業。國防工業不只是資源投入的問題,還涉及政治角力以決定資源分配優先順序和計畫管理。創新更涉及科技體制,政治、經濟、教育、社會制度、資源分配管理機制,及計劃管理體制等複雜議題。
Thomas Kennedy (原著),楊天宏與陳力(翻譯),李鴻章與中國軍事工業近代化(成都 : 四川大學出版 四川省 : 新華經銷, 1992)。
Evan A. Feigenbaum (原著),國防部(翻譯),中共科技先驅—從核子時代到資訊時代的國家安全與戰略競爭(台北:國防部長辦公室,2006年5月)。
陳文政,「軍事創新的理論發展:科技比較研究的角度」,問題與研究,第50卷第3期(2011年9月)。
Tai-ming Cheung, “Dragon on the Horizon: China’s Defense Industrial Renaissance,” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol 32. No. 1 (February 2009), pp. 29-66.
Tai-ming Cheung, Innovate to Dominate--the Rise of the Chinese Techno-Security State (Ithaca and London: Cornell University, 2022), pp. 1-50.
6/4 軍事武獲(Military Acquisition/Procurement)。中國稱為採辦。不論名稱,其具體內容是購買武器。購買武器是複雜的過程,涉及:外在環境的威脅與威脅性質和大小,優先順利排列,軍種間的競爭,預算多寡,及外購或自製
Taiming Cheung and Eric Hagt, China’s Efforts in Civil-Military Integration, Its Impact on the Development of China’s Acquisition System, and Implications for the US (Monterey, CA: Naval Postgraduate School, January 8, 2020).
Yoram Evron, China’s Military Procurement in the Reform Era: the Setting of New Direction (NY/London: Routledge, 2016), Introduction and Chapters 4-6.
William C. Hannas, James Mulvenon, and Anna B. Puglisi, Chinese Industrial Espionag--Technology Acquisition and Military Modernization (London/New York: Routledge, 2013), Chapters 9-10, pp. 216-244.
6/11 中共軍事議題回顧。關鍵問題:如何分析中國軍事議題?什麼方法?如何跨越文化鴻溝?
Peter Mattis, Analyzing the Chinese Military--A Review Essay and Resource Guide on the People’s Liberation Army (Washington DC: The Jamestown Foundation, 2015).
學期作業
1. https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/Books/Chairman-Xi/Chairman-Xi.pdf 2. https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=19Q8BraU1Nmnk23TzMb5rhXFuIAnOpTTq&hl=zh_TW&ll=34.034577331976706%2C88.91246649999997&z=3. 3. https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/CASI/documents/Research/PLARF/2022-10-24%20PLARF%20Organization.pdf. 4. http://www.mod.gov.cn/gfbw/qwfb/jwgghbzbgs/4917411.html