教學大綱 Syllabus

科目名稱:經濟成長與全球貿易網絡

Course Name: Growth and Global Trade Network in the World

修別:選

Type of Credit: Elective

3.0

學分數

Credit(s)

20

預收人數

Number of Students

課程資料Course Details

課程簡介Course Description

This lecture is focused on the relationships between GDP growth and the global trade network, generated (woven) with the warp (vertical specialization) and the weft (horizontal specialization).  “Vertical specialization” produces foreign value added of importers for each country through its imports of intermediates. “Horizontal specialization” generates value added for each country through its exports of intermediates to partners. These two specializations (warp and weft) together weave a global network of value chains (close). This lecture aims to develop students’ understanding of this international trade network or so-called “global value chains (GVC), paying special attention to Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, etc.), Europe (Germany, France, Italy, etc.), the US, and Russia. Students will increase their ability to assess evidence-based studies on economic growth and trade development.

核心能力分析圖 Core Competence Analysis Chart

能力項目說明


    課程目標與學習成效Course Objectives & Learning Outcomes

    Understand cost-performance (benefits) relationships or material intensity by using the basic concepts of intermediate inputs and value-added (GDP), in selected counties, including Russia.

    Evaluate conventional foreign trade (exports of resources and imports of intermediate inputs, consumption and investment). In particular, evaluate imports needed for exports.

    Understand the new concept of bilateral value-added trade among countries through typical case studies and simple data

    Analyze global value chains of international trade of Russia and  selected countries in terms of the value-added trade

    Critically analyze trade balances/imbalances between advanced and developing/emerging economies.

    Synthesize the features of the Russian economy through relationships between economic growth (cost-performance) and global value chains in comparison with other economies.

    Assess evidence-based analyses

    每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

    教學週次Course Week 彈性補充教學週次Flexible Supplemental Instruction Week 彈性補充教學類別Flexible Supplemental Instruction Type

    Week 1

    1. Explanation of outlines and basic concepts using simple examples

    Example of the global value chain: iPhone

    Macro input-output models (1 country & 1 sector) of selected countries:

    1. Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, India, Vietnam, etc.), Europe (EU member countries), the USA, Russia, and Ukraine.

    All data in excel files, employed in the lecture, will be sent to students.

    Week 2-5

    1. Trade Relations among Selected Countries

    The rise of China and the fall of Japan

    The US-China trade nexus

    China-Korea-Taiwan nexus

    Giants India and Indonesia

    Vietnam and other emerging economies

    Intra-EU trade and extra-EU trade

    EU-Russia nexus

    Week 6-9

    1. Vertical and Horizontal Specialization

    Vertical specialization through imports

    Horizontal specialization through exports

    Macro input-output systems (many countries & 1 sector) of selected

    countries:

    1. Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, India, Vietnam, etc.), Europe (EU member countries), the USA, Russia, and Ukraine.

    Week 10-15

    1. The relationship between Growth and two Specializations

    For each country

    For country groups (cross-sections)

    All of the World,  EU,  ASEAN,  APEC, North America, etc.

    Week 16-17

    1. Unit structure of Global Trade Network

    Basic theory

    The WTO initiative for the global concept with “made in the World”

    Developments of multinational companies and GVC

    How to capture the developments of basic structures of the global

    trade network using the new concept of value-added trade

    Challenges to Applying the Global unit structure

     

    Week 18

    1. Decoupling and Reorganization of World Trade caused by the Russia-Ukraine War and the US-China Friction

    Visualization of Developments in the Global Trade Network

    Motion pictures are demonstrated, using OECD’s database with

    45 sectors and 67 countries/areas for 1995-2018.

    授課方式Teaching Approach

    50%

    講述 Lecture

    25%

    討論 Discussion

    25%

    小組活動 Group activity

    0%

    數位學習 E-learning

    0%

    其他: Others:

    評量工具與策略、評分標準成效Evaluation Criteria

    Assessments (due dates, %)

    1

    Assignment – 1(report)

    Week 5

    25%

    2

    Assignment – 2 (presentation)

    Week 10

    25%

    3

    Assignment 3 (final test or report)

    Week 18

    30%

    4

    Attendance with own view and opinion

     

    20%

     

    TOTAL

     

    100%

    指定/參考書目Textbook & References

    Resources                                 

    There is no specific textbook. Detailed references will be provided at lectures. Some of the selected references are as follows:

    Selected References:                       

    Notes: 1. Some of references listed below are based on econometric or mathematical analysis, while this lecture focuses on only their outlines (basic ideas, charts, results and policy implications) without touching details of econometrics and mathematics. 2. The lecturer will provide students with Excel files of all data employed in the lecture. 3. Upon request, the lecturer will provide students with PDF files of all articles and book chapters in the references below.

    • Present Russian Economy
      1. Kuboniwa, M. “Diagnosing the ‘Russian Disease’: Growth and Structure of the Russian   Economy,” Comparative Economic Studies (published by Palgrave Macmillan) 54(1),   pp.121-148. DOI:10.1057/ces.2012.1
      2. Kuboniwa, M. “A Comparative Analysis of the Impact of Oil Prices on Oil-rich Emerging Economies in the Pacific Rim.” Journal of Comparative Economics  (published by Elsevier) 42(2), 2014: 328-339. DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2014.03.007
      3. Kuboniwa, M. “The Impact of Oil Prices, Total Factor Productivity and Institutional Weakness on Russia’s Declining Growth,” in Susanne Oxenstierna ed., The Challenges for Russia’s Politicized Economic System, Routledge, 2015, pp. 113-127.
      4. Kuboniwa, M. “Is There Impossible Mission Force for Development of Russian Manufacturing under Declining Oil Prices,” A paper presented at an international conference held in Tokyo, March 9, 2016.
      5. Kuboniwa, M. “A Comparative Analysis of Trade in Value Added across the EU and Russia,” in Dallago, B. and Casagrande, S. eds., The Routledge Handbook of Comparative Economic Systems, Routledge, London, 2022, pp. 214-240.
       

     

    • Global Trade Network
      1. Xing, Y., and N. Detert. “How the iPhone Widens the United States Trade Deficit with the People’s Republic of China.” ADBI Working Paper No. 257. 2010.    

      Available at http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/156112/adbi-wp257.pdf

    2. OECD’s Introduction to GVC

      http://www.oecd.org/sti/ind/global-value-chains.htm

    3. Elms, K., and P. Low eds. Global Value Chains in a Changing World, World Trade

      Organization: Switzerland, 2013.

      Available at https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/aid4tradeglobalvalue13_e.pdf

    4. WTO and IDE-JETRO, Trade Patterns and Global Value Chains in East Asia:

      From Trade in Goods to Trade in Tasks, World Trade Organization: Switzerland,

      2011. Available at 

      https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/stat_tradepat_globvalchains_e.pdf

    5. Koopman, R., Z. Wang, and S. Wei. 2014. “Tracing Value-Added and Double Counting in

      Gross Exports.” American Economic Review (published by American Economic

      Association) 104 (2), 2014:459–94. Doi:10.1257/aer.104.2.459.

    6 .Kuboniwa, M. “Russia’s Global Value Chain Using Modified World Input-Output

      Data.” Eastern European Economics (published by Taylor & Francis), 53 (4), 2015:

      277-308. DOI:10.1080/00128775.2015.1077012

    7. Kuboniwa, M. “Global Value Chains among Russia, China, the EU, the USA and Japan.”

      paper presented at the European Association of Comparative Economic Studies,

      Budapest, September 5, 2015.  

     

    Free databases

    • Russian statistics available at  http:/www.gks.ru
    • The United Nations trade data available at

    http://comtrade.un.org/db/

    • The OECD inter-country input-output tables (ICIO2021) are available at

    https://www.oecd.org/sti/ind/inter-country-input-output-tables.htm

    • Groningen University Database for World Input-Output Data available at

    http://www.wiod.org/new_site/data.htm

     

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