教學大綱 Syllabus

每周課程進度與作業要求 Course Schedule & Requirements

教學週次Course Week	彈性補充教學週次Flexible Supplemental Instruction Week	彈性補充教學類別Flexible Supplemental Instruction Type
18週18 weeks	無彈性補充教學週No flexible supplemental instruction week

本課程平均每週投入時數約九小時。各週之課程主題、內容與指定閱讀如下：

9/12 Introduction and review of basic math

                Hagle, Section 1 (pp. 1-19);

                Fox, Sections 2.1.1-2.1.4 (pp. 48-54).

Data

9/19 Measurement, Sampling, Data Sets and Software SPSS & R

 

                Agresti, Chapters 1-2, and Appendix (read pp.509-510; 517; 526-527);

                Imai, Chapter 1 & Sections 3.4-3.5;

                方世榮，第1 章、第2 章之2.1-2.2、及第7 章之7.1-7.2；

                R for Data Science, Chapters 1, 2 & 3;

參考讀物：黃紀，2023，〈調查研究設計〉，載於 陳陸輝 主編《民意調查》第二章，台北：五南圖書。

King, Gary. 2016. “Big Data Is Not About Data!” In Computational Social Science: Discovery and Ptediction, ed. R. Michael Alvarez. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Pp. vii-x.

 

9/26-10/3 Descriptive Statistics

 

                Agresti, Chapter 3;

                Imai, Chapter 2 (skip 2.3-2.5), & Sections 3.1-3.3, 5.3 & 5.5.3;

                方世榮，第2, 3章；

          黃紀、王德育，頁3-5；

                R for Data Science, Chapters 4-8.

實例—Huang, Chi(黃紀). 2017. “Electoral System Change and Its Effects on the Party System in Taiwan.” Chapter 10 in The Taiwan Voter, eds. Christopher H. Achen and T.Y. Wang. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

參考讀物：Westfall, Peter H. 2014. “Kurtosis as Peakedness, 1905-2014. R.I.P.” The American Statistician 68(3): 191-5.

 

Probability

10/17-10/31     Basic Probability Concepts

 

Agresti, Section 4.1;

Fox, pp. 84-88;

                Imai, Sections 6.1 & 6.2;

方世榮，第4章。

 

 

11/7              **期中考試**

11/14      An Introduction to Calculus

                Fox, pp. 55-74 and 79-83.

 

11/21          Random Variables and Probability Distributions (I)

 

                Agresti, Sections 4.2 & 4.3;

Imai, Section 6.3;

                Fox, pp. 89-95;

    方世榮，第5章（先讀pp. 129-144+pp. 155-158+pp. 160-171）、第6章。

 

11/28        Random Variables and Probability Distributions (II)

 

                Fox, pp. 99-119;

    方世榮，第5章（聯合機率pp. 144-155+pp. 159-160+pp. 171-174）；

黃紀、王德育，第一章。

 

Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

12/5-12/12       Estimation

 

                Agresti, Sections 4.4-4.6 and Chapter 5;

                Fox, pp. 113-130;

                Imai, Sections 6.4 - 6.5 & 7.1;

                方世榮，第7章、第8章。

 

12/19-12/26     Hypothesis Testing: One Sample and Two Samples

 

                Agresti, Chapters 6, 7 and Sections 8.1-8.4;

                Imai.,Sections 2.1-2.5, 2.8, 3.5-3.6, 7.1.5, 7.2;

       方世榮，第9章、第10章、第11章

       Wasserstein, Ronald L. 2016. "ASA Statement on Statistical Significance and p-Values."

                            The American Statistician 70(2): 131-133. 

 

實例—Gerber, Alan S., Donald P. Green, and Christopher W. Larimer. 2008. “Social Pressure and Voter Turnout: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment.” American Political Science Review 102(1): 33-46.

Huang, Chi(黃紀). 2018. “Testing Partisan Effects on Economic Perceptions: A Panel Design Approach.” Journal of Electoral Studies《選舉研究》25(2): 89-115.

黃紀，2005，〈投票穩定與變遷之分析方法：定群類別資料之馬可夫鍊模型〉，《選舉研究》，12(1): 1-35。

 

1/2          **期末口頭報告**

 

1/9          **期末考試**

 

1/11       **繳期末書面報告**